Every move in the US 10-year yield we have explained, newest first, with the evidence and the test each explanation had to pass.
+5.2 bp to 5.044%
The Fed held at 3.75% to 4%, but two officials voted to raise rates and the statement said inflation remains elevated. Traders kept about an 85% chance of a December hike, and the 10-year yield closed above 5%.
BPlausibleOpenRead the evidence and the testSealed 6664b7129b1c
4.98%−1.39%
2 calls: 1 held, 0 failed, 1 open.
Each file stays exactly as published. The status shows how its test has fared.
The drivers behind most moves in the US 10-year yield, and the trap in reading each one.
What the Federal Reserve is expected to do next, and how fast.
How fast prices are rising, and whether that is speeding up.
Wars, attacks and production decisions that change the oil price.
The interest rate the US government pays to borrow.
How willing investors are to own volatile assets.
The session's material moves, their drivers and every call that came due. In your inbox every weekday morning. Free to read, one click to leave.
